4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,262 sqft ·
Built 1996
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 227 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,541/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,503
Tax + insurance
−$821
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,634
Net cashflow
$2,583/mo
Annual
$30,998/yr
Cap rate
8.79%
Cash-on-cash
8.93%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$347,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.24M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $1.24M).
It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.09M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.09M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $278k; list at $1.24M implies a 347% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $347k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$87k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $12,541/mo this rent would consume 177% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 3679% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D9HC5B4W8SYGKM
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29