4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,582 sqft ·
Built 1899
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,218/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$-527/mo
Annual
$-6,328/yr
Cap rate
3.76%
Cash-on-cash
-9.04%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.49%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-527 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (37.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (51.3% below list).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (51.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#310 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime D.
Madison-Grant United School Corporation (rural): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #180 of 301 in IN (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 184 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $140k; list at $250k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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