4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,528 sqft ·
Built 1906
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,097/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,988
Tax + insurance
−$680
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$860
Net cashflow
$570/mo
Annual
$6,834/yr
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.44%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$106,120
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $379k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $285/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $379k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($356k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $356k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#59 in CT, #3,580 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
Manchester School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #130 of 153 in CT (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Illing Middle School (math 18% / reading 35%, grade F, #151 of 175 statewide, top 87%, 846 students, 58% FRL); Manchester High School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #118 of 194 statewide, top 61%, 1,673 students, 52% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
8 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $200k; list at $379k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.7% in Manchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,097/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 1839% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DA7NKSDDKKXW9H
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29