1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
928 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Condo
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,490/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$196
HOA
−$499
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$313
Net cashflow
$-200/mo
Annual
$-2,403/yr
Cap rate
4.44%
Cash-on-cash
-6.60%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-200 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (27.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#248 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
Southfield Public School District (urban): math 17% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #392 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Morris Adler Elementary School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 336 students, 67% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 5% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Southfield Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $94k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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