4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,588 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,568/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$453
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$539
Net cashflow
$475/mo
Annual
$5,694/yr
Cap rate
9.00%
Cash-on-cash
9.68%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#408 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Depew Union Free School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #461 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $210k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.7% in Depew — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DB3X8M6Z76DP75
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29