438 Saturn Ave

Salina, KS 67401

$140,000D-

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,620 sqft · Built 1994 · Manufactured · Active · 60 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,244/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax + insurance: −$303
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$261
• Net cashflow: $-55/mo
• Annual: $-655/yr
• Cap rate: 5.83%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.67%
• DSCR: 0.93
• 1% rule: 0.89%
• Cash to close: $39,200

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-655/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (6.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (11.1% below list).
• It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $124k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#127 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
• Salina (town): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #134 of 169 in KS (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Coronado Elem (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #273 of 684 statewide, top 45%, 394 students, 47% FRL); Salina South Middle (math 20% / reading 26%, grade F, #125 of 219 statewide, top 59%, 811 students, 62% FRL); Salina High South (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #233 of 327 statewide, top 71%, 1,102 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 330 active listings in the ZIP; 293 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Saline County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• Current owner paid $72k; list at $140k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.