3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$796/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$79
Tax + insurance
−$32
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$167
Net cashflow
$518/mo
Annual
$6,213/yr
Cap rate
47.71%
Cash-on-cash
147.93%
DSCR
7.58
1% rule
5.30%
Cash to close
$4,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $518 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($796 rent vs $15k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $15k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $311 of equity ($104 loan paydown + $207 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#666 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Shamrock ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #811 of 1,141 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP.
Wheeler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DBN5C15S89NM95
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29