4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,653 sqft ·
Built 2019
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,579/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,639
Tax + insurance
−$322
HOA
−$22
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$542
Net cashflow
$54/mo
Annual
$652/yr
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.74%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$87,500
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $312k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($652/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (17.5% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $258k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#107 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Desoto Central Primary (876 students, 100% FRL); Desoto Central Middle School (math 62% / reading 48%, grade B-, #15 of 179 statewide, top 8%, 1,468 students, 100% FRL); Desoto Central High School (math 36% / reading 52%, grade F, #40 of 197 statewide, top 20%, 1,995 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.2% in Southaven — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DC70DG4PQJQMBJ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29