106 Los Cordovas Rd

Ranchos de Taos, NM 87557

$125,000C-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 211 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,305/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax + insurance: −$208
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$274
• Net cashflow: $167/mo
• Annual: $2,005/yr
• Cap rate: 7.90%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.73%
• DSCR: 1.25
• 1% rule: 1.04%
• Cash to close: $35,000

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
• It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#35 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, commute A; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living D+, schools F.
• Taos Municipal Schools (town): math 19% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #43 of 95 in NM (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Taos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Taos County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: exterior walls — Significant weathering and structural issues
• Major: roof — No visible roof damage, but the condition of the exterior suggests potential roof issues
• Major: flooring — Worn-out flooring, potential subfloor damage
• Major: HVAC/mechanicals — No visible HVAC, potential mechanical issues
• Major: landscaping — Overgrown vegetation, broken fence