4 bd · 4.5 ba ·
4,200 sqft ·
Built 2016
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$49,048/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$23,572
Tax + insurance
−$7,492
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$10,300
Net cashflow
$7,684/mo
Annual
$92,203/yr
Cap rate
8.34%
Cash-on-cash
7.33%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$1,258,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $4.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($92k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($49k rent vs $4.50M).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($4.36M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $4.36M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $481k of equity ($31k loan paydown + $450k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#874 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Bridgehampton Union Free School District (rural): math 50% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #511 of 755 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $430k; list at $4.50M implies a 945% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1.26M cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$773k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $49,048/mo this rent would consume 339% of the median local household income ($174k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DDMFPACFBX5E24
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29