6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,703 sqft ·
Built 1957
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 282 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,581/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,851
Tax + insurance
−$547
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,382
Net cashflow
$-199/mo
Annual
$-2,391/yr
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.92%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$259,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $925k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-199 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-100/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $890k (3.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $658k (28.9% below list).
It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($814k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $658k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Ventura Unified (urban): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #218 of 517 in CA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Loma Vista Elementary (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #232 of 1,571 statewide, top 16%, 392 students, 34% FRL); Cabrillo Middle (math 37% / reading 55%, grade D+, #122 of 498 statewide, top 25%, 801 students, 40% FRL); Ventura High (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #434 of 1,170 statewide, top 39%, 2,095 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.4% in San Buenaventura (Ventura) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,581/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($104k/yr) (locally 2414% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29