2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
700 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Manufactured
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,953/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$410
Net cashflow
$1,301/mo
Annual
$15,609/yr
Cap rate
50.89%
Cash-on-cash
159.27%
DSCR
8.09
1% rule
5.58%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#215 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Gloucester City Public School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #413 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 50.9% vs local median 5.5% in Gloucester City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Electrical panel
— Panel shows signs of wear and tear.
Minor: Water heater
— Water heater appears old and may need replacement.
Minor: Exterior siding
— Siding shows some wear and tear, but not severe enough to require immediate attention.
Minor: Interior walls
— Paint is chipping in some areas, indicating wear and tear.
Minor: Roof
— Roof appears to be in fair condition, but may need a visual inspection for any potential issues.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DDR8GT97BZ103Z
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29