3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,850/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$889
Tax + insurance
−$202
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$371/mo
Annual
$4,447/yr
Cap rate
8.92%
Cash-on-cash
9.37%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$47,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#427 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Chattanooga Valley Elementary School (math 33% / reading 40%, grade F, #509 of 1,228 statewide, top 42%, 462 students, 65% FRL); Chattanooga Valley Middle School (math 33% / reading 40%, grade F, #167 of 470 statewide, top 38%, 491 students, 67% FRL); Ridgeland High School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,244 students, 70% FRL).
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $170k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.7% in Chattanooga Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29