3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,054 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$941/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$122/mo
Annual
$1,467/yr
Cap rate
7.92%
Cash-on-cash
5.83%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#405 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Randolph County (rural): math 11% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #96 of 129 in AL (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Woodland Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 316 students, 65% FRL); Wedowee Middle School (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #166 of 257 statewide, top 64%, 184 students, 73% FRL); Woodland High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #165 of 305 statewide, top 55%, 279 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP.
Randolph County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $90k implies a 399% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.8% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DE47ND00FWQHZW
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29