5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,080 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,444/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$226
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$513
Net cashflow
$565/mo
Annual
$6,777/yr
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.26%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $209k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Crook County SD (town): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #19 of 58 in OR (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 142 units permitted in Crook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crook County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $110k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $215k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.8% in Prineville Lake Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DE7DYT3BPZKBV4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29