3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,176 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,984
Tax + insurance
−$942
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$847
Net cashflow
$-740/mo
Annual
$-8,877/yr
Cap rate
4.73%
Cash-on-cash
-5.57%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$159,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $569k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-740 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $438k (23.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $403k (29.1% below list).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($552k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $403k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#152 in NY, #2,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F.
Uniondale Union Free School District (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #164 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $302k; list at $569k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DEQSN92WQSA938
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29