3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,393/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$482
Tax + insurance
−$253
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$366/mo
Annual
$4,388/yr
Cap rate
11.07%
Cash-on-cash
17.05%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$25,732
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($635 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Frazier SD (rural): math 25% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #371 of 539 in PA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $92k implies a 327% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29