3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built 1848
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 166 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,365/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$792
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$707
Net cashflow
$-625/mo
Annual
$-7,494/yr
Cap rate
4.72%
Cash-on-cash
-5.63%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $475k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-625 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $385k (19.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $336k (29.2% below list).
It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $336k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#994 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
West Chester Area SD (suburban): math 56% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #34 of 539 in PA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1848 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.2%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $180k; list at $475k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.6% in Chester Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($133k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1848 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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