3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,400/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$540
Tax + insurance
−$111
HOA
−$1,318
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$504
Net cashflow
$-73/mo
Annual
$-878/yr
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.04%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
2.33%
Cash to close
$28,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $103k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-878/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (12.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $103k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $90k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $712 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#13 in OR, #282 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
Hillsboro SD 1J (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #13 of 58 in OR (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 55% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $82k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.9% in Hillsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DFZQ4K0TFACYRM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29