12 bd · 9.0 ba ·
1,940 sqft ·
Built 2026
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,579/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,254
Tax + insurance
−$716
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$542
Net cashflow
$-934/mo
Annual
$-11,202/yr
Cap rate
3.69%
Cash-on-cash
-9.31%
DSCR
0.59
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$120,372
Investor read
This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 2×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $430k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-934 ($-11k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-311/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $295k (31.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (40.0% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($404k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $258k (40.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#54 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
T Or C Municipal Schools (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #29 of 29 in NM (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP.
Sierra County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-DG3VYR4MYDQXZS
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29