3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,828 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 155 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,032/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,727
Tax + insurance
−$437
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$-1,559/mo
Annual
$-18,710/yr
Cap rate
2.69%
Cash-on-cash
-12.85%
DSCR
0.43
1% rule
0.39%
Cash to close
$145,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $520k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (53.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (60.9% below list).
It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($458k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (60.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#430 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Gilmer County (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 174 in GA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 314 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Gilmer County in 2024 (74 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gilmer County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $79k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $450k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$89k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.7% vs local median 1.5% in Talking Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 61% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DG4DXFDZMMFP62
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29