3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,566 sqft ·
Built 1929
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,224/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$155
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$680/mo
Annual
$8,165/yr
Cap rate
33.97%
Cash-on-cash
98.85%
DSCR
5.40
1% rule
4.15%
Cash to close
$8,260
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $27k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $978 of equity ($204 loan paydown + $774 appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,113 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, schools F.
Edwards-Knox Central School District (rural): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #454 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $22k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DGRVZ14TK1SGP6
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29