4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,197/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$354
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$461
Net cashflow
$-182/mo
Annual
$-2,179/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.68%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-182 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (11.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (24.2% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $220k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#325 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Danville Community School Corporation (suburban): math 52% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #27 of 301 in IN (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: North Elementary School (650 students, 38% FRL); Danville Middle School (math 53% / reading 58%, grade B-, #24 of 330 statewide, top 7%, 805 students, 34% FRL); Danville Community High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #79 of 369 statewide, top 26%, 788 students, 27% FRL).
Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $61k; list at $290k implies a 377% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.1% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DHAR4T4QC4TT5E
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29