4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,518 sqft ·
Built 2008
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 259 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$358
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$693
Net cashflow
$1,121/mo
Annual
$13,454/yr
Cap rate
12.55%
Cash-on-cash
22.35%
DSCR
1.99
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 48/100 on livability (#151 in HI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Naalehu Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #171 of 183 statewide, top 94%, 422 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 39% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hawaii Department Of Education average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 982 units permitted in Hawaii County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hawaii County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $130k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.0% in Hawaiian Ocean View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,300/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DHS9W9FV7XF4H1
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29