36 bd · 12.0 ba ·
2,130 sqft ·
Built 1975
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,543
Tax + insurance
−$808
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,943
Net cashflow
$3,957/mo
Annual
$47,479/yr
Cap rate
16.08%
Cash-on-cash
34.96%
DSCR
2.56
1% rule
1.91%
Cash to close
$135,800
Investor read
This is a 6 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $485k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($47k/yr) — positive. Per door: $659/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $485k).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($441k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $441k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in OR, #2,680 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-.
Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $136k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 3.9% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,251/mo this rent would consume 132% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 395% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-DHWBVX4GXYQY42
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29