2054 SW Silver Pine Way Unit 123h

Palm City, FL 34990

$269,000D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,286 sqft · Built 1988 · Condo · Active · 132 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,660/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,411
• Tax + insurance: −$401
• HOA: −$665
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$559
• Net cashflow: $-375/mo
• Annual: $-4,505/yr
• Cap rate: 4.62%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.98%
• DSCR: 0.73
• 1% rule: 0.99%
• Cash to close: $75,320

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $269k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-375 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (24.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $266k (1.1% below list).
• It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $203k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#140 in FL, #2,113 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Bessey Creek Elementary School (math 78% / reading 78%, grade A, #149 of 2,144 statewide, top 8%, 562 students, 28% FRL); Hidden Oaks Middle School (math 82% / reading 71%, grade A, #33 of 571 statewide, top 6%, 940 students, 23% FRL); Martin County High School (math 45% / reading 54%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 2,273 students, 42% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Martin average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 452 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 7 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask is 13350% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
• Current owner paid $160k; list at $269k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.6% in Palm City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?