4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,612 sqft ·
Built 1944
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,916/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$623
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$612
Net cashflow
$423/mo
Annual
$5,077/yr
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.56%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$67,172
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $212/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Kenmore-Tonawanda Union Free School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #453 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Herbert Hoover Elementary School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 565 students, 43% FRL); Herbert Hoover Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #522 of 729 statewide, top 73%, 758 students, 51% FRL); Kenmore West Senior High School (math 74% / reading 57%, grade B, #773 of 1,100 statewide, top 70%, 1,358 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 33% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.8%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $55k; list at $240k implies a 336% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.1% in Tonawanda Town — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,916/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 727% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DJP7QB6T30J204
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29