3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,845 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$410
Net cashflow
$447/mo
Annual
$5,369/yr
Cap rate
9.36%
Cash-on-cash
10.96%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in OH, #3,542 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Mount Vernon City (town): math 55% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #321 of 656 in OH (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Mount Vernon Middle School (math 53% / reading 55%, grade B-, #352 of 654 statewide, top 55%, 836 students, 42% FRL); Mount Vernon High School (math 37% / reading 70%, grade C-, #334 of 781 statewide, top 43%, 1,036 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 195 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Knox County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.0% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DJRKT8DE1J57CY
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29