2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,260/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$188
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$-327/mo
Annual
$-3,924/yr
Cap rate
3.97%
Cash-on-cash
-8.29%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-327 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (14.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (25.5% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $126k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Viking Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #118 of 236 statewide, top 54%, 320 students, 40% FRL); South Middle School (math 37% / reading 54%, grade D+, #14 of 35 statewide, top 38%, 549 students, 31% FRL); Red River High School (math 36% / reading 61%, grade D, #29 of 144 statewide, top 20%, 1,137 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 284 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $86k; list at $169k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-DK4X8031M8XQ4T
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29