3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,144 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,194/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$-16/mo
Annual
$-196/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.44%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-196/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (24.9% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#133 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Fletcher (rural): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #189 of 270 in OK (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Fletcher Es (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 280 students, 0% FRL); Fletcher Jhs (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #311 of 345 statewide, top 92%, 77 students, 0% FRL); Fletcher Hs (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 112 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DKFDYG0PEDK3WR
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29