2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
658 sqft ·
Built 1941
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,110/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$250/mo
Annual
$3,003/yr
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.29%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#67 in OR, #2,703 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Klamath Falls City Schools (town): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #36 of 58 in OR (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Joseph Conger Elementary School (math 24% / reading 30%, grade F, #288 of 412 statewide, top 73%, 286 students, 89% FRL); Ponderosa Middle School (math 27% / reading 41%, grade F, #71 of 128 statewide, top 56%, 565 students, 88% FRL); Klamath Union High School (math 15% / reading 64%, grade F, #69 of 143 statewide, top 54%, 645 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 62% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 493 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.4% in Klamath Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DKQ7YECJ7Y60N9
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29