12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
5,284 sqft ·
Built 1966
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 630 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,235/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,412
Tax + insurance
−$1,671
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,309
Net cashflow
$843/mo
Annual
$10,113/yr
Cap rate
8.49%
Cash-on-cash
7.85%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$128,800
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $460k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $843 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $211/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $460k).
It's been on market 630 days — a 12% lower offer ($405k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $405k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#159 in IL, #2,964 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $460k implies a 441% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.5% in Blue Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 630 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29