2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 179 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$850/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$-32/mo
Annual
$-389/yr
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.54%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-389/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (6.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (5.6% below list).
It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in TX, #3,812 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Cisco ISD (town): math 53% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #118 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Cisco El (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 415 students, 60% FRL); Cisco J H (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C+, #301 of 1,662 statewide, top 19%, 161 students, 48% FRL); Cisco H S (math 72% / reading 77%, grade B+, #82 of 1,632 statewide, top 6%, 234 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Eastland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Eastland County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.5% in Cisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29