2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,392 sqft ·
Built 1914
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$707/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$231
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$148
Net cashflow
$200/mo
Annual
$2,395/yr
Cap rate
11.74%
Cash-on-cash
19.44%
DSCR
1.86
1% rule
1.61%
Cash to close
$12,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($707 rent vs $44k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $43k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IA, #3,329 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Oelwein Community School District (town): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #281 of 289 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Oelwein Middle School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade C-, #219 of 246 statewide, top 90%, 359 students, 60% FRL); Oelwein High School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade C-, #293 of 336 statewide, top 87%, 314 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $44k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.5% in Oelwein — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DP2K55FBDZHM0G
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29