3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,412 sqft ·
Built 1949
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,161/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$355
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$664
Net cashflow
$307/mo
Annual
$3,685/yr
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.76%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $316k (9.7% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $316k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#2 in NM, #1,377 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Los Alamos Public Schools (town): math 61% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #2 of 29 in NM (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 14 units permitted in Los Alamos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Alamos County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DP432V5Q4KRS70
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29