4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
3,064 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 318 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,160/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$-13/mo
Annual
$-159/yr
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.63%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-159/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (1.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (17.2% below list).
It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $392 of equity ($968 loan paydown + $-576 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#99 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Jefferson Davis Parish (town): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 98 in LA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Jefferson Davis Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson Davis County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DP4CK48WTDEYXR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29