2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,740/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$1,959
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,305
Net cashflow
$5,762/mo
Annual
$69,141/yr
Cap rate
14.60%
Cash-on-cash
29.66%
DSCR
2.32
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $899k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($69k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $899k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($872k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $872k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $96k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $90k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$155k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 9.3% in Westhampton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,740/mo this rent would consume 151% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 43% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DP988M2Y89F9AS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29