2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Townhouse
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,203/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$1,959
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,193
Net cashflow
$5,337/mo
Annual
$64,042/yr
Cap rate
14.03%
Cash-on-cash
27.64%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
1.69%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $899k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($64k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $899k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($845k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $845k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $96k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $90k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Westhampton Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 356 students, 43% FRL); Westhampton Middle School (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 434 students, 26% FRL); Westhampton Beach Senior High School (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 964 students, 24% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$155k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 9.0% in Westhampton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,203/mo this rent would consume 146% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 19% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DP988M2Y89F9AS
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29