None bd · None ba ·
2,752 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 143 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,229/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,355
Tax + insurance
−$815
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$678
Net cashflow
$-618/mo
Annual
$-7,418/yr
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.27%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$125,720
Investor read
This is a single-family listed at $449k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-618 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $360k (19.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $323k (28.1% below list).
It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($395k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $323k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 83 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,229/mo this rent would consume 200% of the median local household income ($19k/yr) (locally 795% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Yard maintenance
— Overgrown grass and debris need immediate attention.
Major: Fence repair
— The fence is old and in need of repair.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29