12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,100 sqft ·
Built 1918
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,138/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,779
Tax + insurance
−$883
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,499
Net cashflow
$1,976/mo
Annual
$23,716/yr
Cap rate
10.77%
Cash-on-cash
15.98%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$148,400
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $530k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive. Per door: $494/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $530k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($514k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $514k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $46k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#384 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Summerdale School (math 23% / reading 55%, grade F, #257 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 573 students, 77% FRL); Robertsdale High School (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #53 of 305 statewide, top 18%, 1,450 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 38% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $148k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$74k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.7% in Summerdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and needs trimming
Major: Exterior paint
— Weathered and needs repainting
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29