3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,375 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,057/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$220
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$432
Net cashflow
$15/mo
Annual
$179/yr
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.24%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($179/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (22.4% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#111 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Camden County (town): math 56% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Matilda Harris Elementary School (math 63% / reading 51%, grade C+, #151 of 1,228 statewide, top 13%, 662 students, 40% FRL); Camden Middle School (math 47% / reading 53%, grade C, #68 of 470 statewide, top 15%, 1,125 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 388 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 383 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $174k; list at $265k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.5% in Kingsland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DPS407B4YN0HXP
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29