3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,368 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 141 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,626
Tax + insurance
−$490
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$546
Net cashflow
$-62/mo
Annual
$-741/yr
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.85%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$86,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-741/yr) — negative. Per door: $-31/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (3.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (16.1% below list).
It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $260k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#934 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Fallsburg Central School District (town): math 29% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #583 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask is 13% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $310k implies a 1842% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29