2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
952 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,694/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$102
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$764/mo
Annual
$9,168/yr
Cap rate
16.48%
Cash-on-cash
36.38%
DSCR
2.62
1% rule
1.88%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $764 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#391 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
South Madison Community School Corporation (rural): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #60 of 301 in IN (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pendleton Heights High School (math 36% / reading 77%, grade C, #70 of 369 statewide, top 19%, 1,357 students, 31% FRL).
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 184 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $90k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 4.0% in Ingalls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DQ5MF50RA2Q43H
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29