8 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,980 sqft ·
Built 1976
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 189 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,368/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,246
Tax + insurance
−$858
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,337
Net cashflow
$927/mo
Annual
$11,119/yr
Cap rate
8.09%
Cash-on-cash
6.42%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$173,320
Investor read
This is a 4×1bd/1.0ba + 2×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $619k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $927 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $154/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $619k).
It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($545k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $545k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 318 active listings in the ZIP; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $385k; list at $619k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,368/mo this rent would consume 118% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1398% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-DQXBWDFN7E7B6G
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29