3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,238 sqft ·
Built 1899
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,147/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$243
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$241
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-228/yr
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.63%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-228/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (2.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (11.8% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $115k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#99 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Central Cass 17 (rural): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 53 in ND (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Central Cass Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #34 of 236 statewide, top 15%, 396 students, 14% FRL); Central Cass Middle School (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #15 of 35 statewide, top 41%, 327 students, 14% FRL); Central Cass High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #57 of 144 statewide, top 48%, 312 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DRX0PX1B6X79BT
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29