2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,767 sqft ·
Built 1988
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,563/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,141
Tax + insurance
−$937
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,588
Net cashflow
$1,897/mo
Annual
$22,759/yr
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.57%
DSCR
1.60
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$167,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $599k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $599k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#526 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $185k; list at $599k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $7,563/mo this rent would consume 142% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 681% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DS3MRG358RCP1W
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29