3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,320 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,152/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$253/mo
Annual
$3,040/yr
Cap rate
9.49%
Cash-on-cash
11.43%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#383 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
Mount Enterprise ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #422 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Rusk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rusk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.