3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,675 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,389
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$65/mo
Annual
$778/yr
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$74,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($778/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (20.7% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#218 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Marshall County School District (rural): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #87 of 130 in MS (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Byhalia Middle School (5-8) (math 18% / reading 24%, grade F, #112 of 179 statewide, top 64%, 444 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 84% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 356 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 310 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marshall County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.9% in Byhalia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DSQMX85AC0V4XB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29