2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
888 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Other
· Active
· 399 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$873/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$173
Tax + insurance
−$33
HOA
−$63
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$183
Net cashflow
$420/mo
Annual
$5,046/yr
Cap rate
21.58%
Cash-on-cash
54.61%
DSCR
3.43
1% rule
2.65%
Cash to close
$9,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $33k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($873 rent vs $33k).
It's been on market 399 days — a 12% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $29k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $621 of equity ($228 loan paydown + $393 appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Line Mountain SD (rural): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #266 of 539 in PA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 399 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DSWZ1H53HWPJR5
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29