3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,495 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 106 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,637/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,190
Tax + insurance
−$378
HOA
−$30
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$344
Net cashflow
$-305/mo
Annual
$-3,662/yr
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.76%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$63,557
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $227k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-305 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (19.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (27.9% below list).
It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
Sulphur Springs ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DT0XJ3EZB79FFF
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29