5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,752 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 435 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,872/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,284
Tax + insurance
−$1,101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$603
Net cashflow
$-117/mo
Annual
$-1,400/yr
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.04%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$68,572
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (2.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
It's been on market 435 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Frederick Douglass School 19 (math 9% / reading 13%, grade F, #909 of 994 statewide, top 92%, 444 students, 81% FRL); H L Harshman Middle School (math 3% / reading 16%, grade F, #316 of 330 statewide, top 96%, 549 students, 84% FRL); Arsenal Technical High School (math 6% / reading 27%, grade F, #353 of 369 statewide, top 96%, 2,366 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools at 80% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 500 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $205k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,872/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 1499% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 435 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DT8JVVEEDPJSMF
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29